DEVIATEFeatured / Using Deviate
Deviate FAQ: what it does, what it costs and what it does not do
Short answers about the Deviate prediction market alert app: trading, cost, sports covered, alert controls and limits.
Read the storyThe Deviate blog
Subscribe via RSS A clearer view.
Notes on sports markets, model thinking, and making your alerts work for you.
More from Deviate
Using DeviateHow to read a Deviate alert card, using one that lost
Every part of an alert card explained, from the point edge to the outcome, with a real losing alert as the example.
What is Deviate? A plain-English guide to the prediction market alert app
Deviate is an iPhone app that compares a historical win probability with the live prediction market price and alerts you when the gap passes your threshold.
Using DeviateWhich sports Deviate covers, and where it does not send alerts
Nine sports, six with a live model and three that appear in Live without alerts. What Deviate reads in each one.
Alert breakdownsA +13 point edge in the second set: Korneeva @ Han, and the alert that lost nearby
Walking through a recent tennis alert on the Deviate card, what the 13-point gap means, and the loss from the same morning.
Alert breakdownsOne alert, start to finish: Fokina at 4-2 in the third
A recent tennis alert from the Deviate archive, what the card says, and why one win proves very little on its own.
Model vs market: what an edge actually means
Two probabilities can tell different stories. Here is how to read the comparison without mistaking it for a promise.
The score is only part of the situation
A lead means something different with a quarter left than it does with a minute left. Good comparisons need context.
Set up alerts that fit your day
Your sports, your threshold, your quiet hours. A practical guide to making Deviate useful without making your phone busier.
Useful context. No performance promises.Get to know the app