Deviate vs checking prediction markets by hand
Checking a market yourself gives you direct control over what you watch. Deviate automates a specific task: comparing supported live game states with market prices and notifying you when the gap crosses your threshold.
| What you compare | By hand | With Deviate |
|---|---|---|
| Time spent | You check prices and compare situations yourself. | The app runs the comparison and sends qualifying alerts. |
| Coverage | You see what you check while you are looking. | 24/7 scanning of supported markets. Alerts depend on live game state and model coverage. |
| Consistency | You choose your method, whether research, a model, or judgement. | A model applies its game-state comparison and your alert threshold. |
| Explanation | You gather and interpret the information. | Each alert includes the two numbers, their gap, and a plain-English reason. |
| Price | Checking publicly available prices has no Deviate subscription cost. Other data or tools may cost money. | Two weeks free for first-time subscribers, then $9.99/month. |
What the comparison leaves to you
An automated comparison cannot capture every fact a market participant may consider. Deviate does not claim to beat the market, and it does not replace your judgement. Any trading happens on a separate exchange, which may charge its own fees.
Two weeks free, then $9.99/month. Cancel anytime in Apple ID settings.
Free trial for first-time subscribers. Subscription renews automatically.